InfoWARE AI Analyst Daily Market Report: 12-Dec-2025

InfoWARE AI Analyst Daily Market Report: 12-Dec-2025
(Source: InfoWARE Terminal, Date: 12-Dec-2025)

Dear Investor,

Market Close Summary: Friday, December 12, 2025

The Nigerian equities market capped the week on a bullish note, with the NGX All Share Index (ASI) rising +1.00% to close at 147,950.59 (YTD: +44.83%). Despite a slight dip in overall trading volume (-10.69% vs. previous session), market turnover surged +29.85% to ₦14.60B, reflecting a strong shift into higher value deals. Breadth was nearly even (32 advancers vs. 31 decliners), signaling a balanced contest between bulls and bears. Notably, top gainers and certain momentum pockets delivered robust performances—led by consumer and brewing stocks—while tech, ETF, and select financial names faced aggressive selloffs. In the FX space, the Naira appreciated modestly against the USD by 0.13% to 1,449/$.

Market Breadth & Key Action

Market Breadth: 1.03x (32 advancers, 31 decliners)—reflects healthy, though cautious, risk appetite with clear winners and losers.
Turnover Up, Volume Down: +29.85% in value (₦14.60B) but -10.69% in shares traded, indicating larger deal sizes but less retail churn.
Advancing Stocks: Volume was up in 82 stocks (vs. 59 down)—rotational interest persists across key tickers.
Top Gainer: GUINNESS NIG PLC (GUINNESS) +10.00% (₦217.80)—breweries are moving forward strongly.
Top Loser: MERISTEM GROWTH ETF (MERGROWTH) -10.00% (₦732.18)—ETF volatility spikes, with sharp profit-taking after a momentum run.

Top Gainers & Losers

Stock	Change (%)	RSI	MACD	15DMA	50DMA	Beta
GUINNESS	+10.00	76.7	6.80	184.85	180.15	0.33
MERGROWTH	+10.00	90.58 (Overbought)	45.78	494.21	424.32	-2.31
MORISON	+9.84	97.90 (Extremely Overbought)	0.19	3.56	3.32	-0.13
CHAMPION	+9.69	40.37	-0.26	13.67	14.80	0.16
AUSTINLAZ	+9.66	10.09 (Oversold)	-0.15	2.29	2.69	0.07
ETRANZACT	-10.00	51.00	0.04	14.04	14.20	0.58
MERVALUE	-10.00	94.14	56.56	310.19	232.11	4.95
STANBICETF30	-10.00	59.65	234.53	1212.19	763.64	-0.23
CHELLARAM	-9.90	19.12 (Oversold)	-0.30	14.55	15.68	-0.20
EUNISELL	-9.89	65.25	4.56	80.48	64.89	-0.22

Structural Insights & Predictions

Turnover Spike: Higher turnover with lower volume signifies robust activity among larger institutions or block trades—likely signaling portfolio adjustments or strategic rotations.
Strong Advancers: Consumer names (notably brewers) and momentum ETFs dominated, while macro/FX-exposed and specialty financial stocks showed weakness.
Unusual Volume: TRANSPOWER saw a +20,503% volume spike (vs. 90D average), alongside CUSTODIAN (+1,560%), CHAMPION (+1,506%), highlighting aggressive institutional and speculative interest.
YTD Winners Overlap: MERGROWTH—a YTD gainer—and MORISON held in top momentum territory even after a choppy day, but MERGROWTH's extremely high RSI (90.58) marks it as "overheated.”
Bearish Momentum: AFRIPRUD (high dividend, yield: 1.27%, beta: 0.64) triggered a bearish signal, closing below the 15DMA and down -10.83%—potentially value rotation away from defensive yielders.

Contrarian Signals

CHAMPION: Despite only a middling RSI (40.4) and negative YTD performance (-9.8%), it demonstrates strong bullish MACD and closes above its 15DMA. Such momentum divergences could signal near-term mean reversion or "catch up” potential.
AFRIPRUD: High dividend, low beta, but steep one-day drop; if bargain hunters return, this stock could stage a defensive bounce once the dust settles.
AUSTINLAZ: Oversold RSI (10.09), positive day change (+9.66%), but low liquidity/coverage—may see violent swings as traders chase reversals.
MORISON: Extremely overbought RSI (97.9), yet continues to surge; "overbought can stay overbought,” but risk of snapback correction is high.

Sector Heatmap & Institutional/Retail Flows

Sector	Example Tickers	Performance	Institutional Flow	Technical Signal
Beverages (Brewers/Distillers)	GUINNESS, NB, CHAMPION, INTBREW	Strong Up (+10% GUINNESS, +9.7% CHAMPION)	NB, CHAMPION	Bullish cross (15DMA up, strong RSI)
Financials	ZENITHBANK, ACCESSCORP, FCMB	Mixed (banking names losing momentum, ACCESSCORP heavy institutional trades despite -0.5%)	ZENITHBANK: 20.17% institutional trade share	Bearish cross (ACCESSCORP below 15DMA/50DMA), watch for further weakness
ETFs/Tech	MERGROWTH, MERVALUE, STANBICETF30	Volatile/Down (sharp profit-taking)	ETF blocks (likely institutional exits after rally)	Overbought RSI, reversal risk
Diversified (Inds/Services)	CUSTODIAN, NAHCO	Rotational flows; CUSTODIAN volume surge with flat price, hints at accumulation	CUSTODIAN, NAHCO	Watch for breakouts as volume precedes price

Dividend vs. Beta Matrix (Defensive Opportunities)

Stock	Dividend Yield	Beta	Momentum
AFRIPRUD	1.27%	0.64	Bearish (below 15DMA)
NAHCO	6.66%	0.65	Bullish (above 15DMA)
CUTIX	6.52%	0.70	Bullish (above 15DMA)

Insight: High dividend, low-beta stocks (like AFRIPRUD, NAHCO) can offer defense, especially when technicals pivot bullish. But note, AFRIPRUD hit a bearish trigger today; defensive buyers should wait for trend confirmation before entry.

Institutional Clustering Alerts

ZENITHBANK: 20.17% of institutional trade value—clear sign of fund manager clustering, possibly due to index events or large-portfolio rebalancing.
ACCESSCORP: Over 100M shares traded (over 17% of institutional volume), but mild price loss—watch for a base or further distribution.
NB and MTNN also featured in both institutional and retail most-traded lists—market-wide focus.

High Dividend Yield With Bearish Trigger

AFRIPRUD stands out as a classic yield play but now with a bearish momentum breakdown; this is a caution for income-seeking investors.
CUTIX and NAHCO both present bullish breakouts, and their high dividend profile may now attract "yield plus growth” hunters.

Trader’s Playbook

Bulls: Rotate into beverages and brewers (CHAMPION, GUINNESS, INTBREW) and select momentum laggards beginning to break out (CHAMPION’s technicals flashing green after big volume).
Bears: Avoid crowded, overbought ETFs (MERGROWTH, MERVALUE) and watch for profit-taking reversals or technical snapbacks.
Dividends + Momentum: CUTIX, NAHCO could deliver both income and capital gains as their charts turn up.
Contrarian/Swing Trades: Watch AFRIPRUD and CHAMPION for mean-reversion after sharp moves; snapbacks are common after extreme technical readings.
Volume Surges: TRANSPOWER, CUSTODIAN, and CHAMPION with multi-fold volume increases—volatile swings and possible breakouts in the next session.

Market Activity Analysis: Retail vs. Institutional Trades

Trade Distribution: Institutions executed 35.65% of deals but commanded 94.57% of total trade value, focusing on large, high-impact blocks.
Retail Focus: Retail made up 64.35% of trade count but only 5.43% of value—indicating continued retail interest in quick, smaller position turnovers.
Top Institutional Names: ACCESSCORP (24.4% of trades by institution, but flat price—possible distribution or stealth accumulation), ZENITHBANK, MTNN, DANGSUGAR, NB.
Top Retail Names: MTNN, ACCESSCORP, ZENITHBANK, GTCO, UBA—broadly reflective of institutional interests, suggesting retail "follows the flow” (momentum chasing).
Pattern Detection: When retail and institutional focus overlaps, expect increased volatility and potentially trend extension. Watch ACCESSCORP for a potential reversal or breakout as both camps are super-active.

Hidden Insights & Edge

Momentum Overextension: High RSI readings (MERGROWTH, MORISON) warn of imminent pullback risk; experienced traders may consider scaling out or short-term fades.
Thematic Rotations: Noticeable sector rotation into consumer/brewers and select "yield + growth” names could persist, especially if NGX maintains positive breadth.
Liquidity Seeds Moves: Watch for illiquid high-flyers (AUSTINLAZ, MORISON), where "overreaction” creates both squeeze opportunities and sharp reversals.
ETF Caution: Explosive ETF runs attract late "momentum chasers;” but as signals turn, exits can be abrupt (MERGROWTH, MERVALUE, STANBICETF30 dips).

Stay nimble. Track sector flows and volume spikes—today’s trend turners could be next week’s breakouts or reversals.

Disclaimer: This market summary has been generated using InfoWARE's advanced AI tools and data analysis techniques. While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy and reliability, this content should be used for informational purposes only and should not constitute financial advice. Always consult a professional advisor before making investment decisions.

Top ASI Gainers Over Last 5 Trading Days

Symbol	Price	%Chg5Dys	%Chg1Dy	%ChgWTD	%ChgMTD	%ChgQTD	%ChgYTD
MERGROWTH	665.62	46.41	10.00	46.41	70.27	83.96	85.60
MECURE	37.95	27.35	0.00	27.35	27.35	45.40	173.02
GREENWETF	380.00	23.33	-2.63	23.33	30.51	59.34	-30.71
JAPAULGOLD	2.78	22.02	-4.32	22.02	21.46	6.40	24.30
MORISON	4.27	20.57	9.84	20.57	45.65	45.65	16.96
PZ	45.00	14.63	4.44	14.63	17.50	23.85	93.42
TIP	11.90	14.35	7.14	14.35	15.38	-12.67	410.00
MTNN	495.70	12.53	7.26	12.53	12.98	25.11	165.85
DANGSUGAR	57.50	10.70	4.35	10.70	9.09	-1.64	84.62
WAPIC	2.95	10.57	-0.68	10.57	15.81	-5.48	18.62

Top ASI Losers Over Last 5 Trading Days

Symbol	Price	%Chg5Dys	%Chg1Dy	%ChgWTD	%ChgMTD	%ChgQTD	%ChgYTD
STANBICETF30	1,275.75	-34.39	-10.00	-34.39	-0.35	131.96	211.16
ETERNA	30.20	-14.93	0.00	-14.93	-14.93	-18.49	24.28
UACN	80.80	-14.26	2.72	-14.26	6.96	23.88	151.90
VETGRIF30	51.00	-10.56	5.49	-10.56	-2.71	4.47	42.52
ETRANZACT	14.00	-10.00	-10.00	-10.00	-12.80	-21.25	93.85
TRANSCOHOT	155.60	-9.95	0.00	-9.95	-11.03	-5.47	34.14
CHELLARAM	14.65	-9.90	-9.90	-9.90	-9.90	-18.77	256.76
AFRIPRUD	13.30	-9.77	-9.77	-9.77	-6.98	-19.46	-46.90
JOHNHOLT	4.90	-9.26	0.00	-9.26	-9.26	-38.36	-37.10
CHAMS	3.00	-9.09	0.00	-9.09	1.69	-16.43	42.86

For more detailed analysis, on InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <NSEPERF> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App (Android, iPhone & iPad, Windows Phone and Windows 8/10), "Top Gainers & Losers"

GUINNESS NIG PLC (GUINNESS) topped the advancers list closing at N217.80 with a gain of 10.00% followed by MERISTEM GROWTH EXCHANGE TRADED FUND (MERGROWTH) which closed at N732.18 with a gain of 10.00%.

On the flip side E-TRANZACT INTERNATIONAL PLC (ETRANZACT) and MERISTEM VALUE EXCHANGE TRADED FUND (MERVALUE) topped the decliners log with a loss of -10.00% at a close of N12.60, and -10.00% to close the day at N413.10 respectively.

Top Gainers

Symbol	LClose	%Chg
GUINNESS	217.80	10.00
MERGROWTH	732.18	10.00
MORISON	4.69	9.84
CHAMPION	14.15	9.69
AUSTINLAZ	2.27	9.66

Top Losers

Symbol	LClose	%Chg
ETRANZACT	12.60	-10.00
MERVALUE	413.10	-10.00
STANBICETF30	1,148.18	-10.00
CHELLARAM	13.20	-9.90
EUNISELL	75.15	-9.89

For more detailed analysis,

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Currency Market

In the currency market, the Naira appreciated 0.13%(1.83) against the Dollar to settle at 1 to 1

Investment Insights - Top 5 Gainers YTD

These stocks are the best performers whose price has risen faster than the market as a whole with the best returns year to date. Momentum investors believe that stocks that have outperformed the market will often continue to do so because the factors that caused them to outperform will not suddenly disappear. In addition, other investors seeking to benefit from the stock’s outperformance will often purchase the stock, further bidding its price higher and pushing the stock higher still

For more detailed analysis,

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NSE: Bull Signal - Price crossed above 15 Day MA

This signal implies these stocks are under buying pressure and the price might continue to rise and therefore positions should be monitored closely. Further suggested analysis include looking at the overall market (ASI) to see if the uptrend is market wide, sector wide or specific to the stock. Portfolio managers tend to use this as a signal to do more research to add to their positions or lock in some profits. Typically further analysis should be done using commands like PC and RV on the InfoWARE Market Data Terminal. Another command is ALERTS to set price triggers for possible exit or entry as necessary

For more detailed analysis,

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Symbol	Price	%Chg	15DMA	PE	EPS	DivY	MktCap	Vol	Trades	Value	LstTradeTime
CHAMPION	14.15	8.83	13.67	412.83	0.01	0.41	110.79B	36.44M	116.00	510.16M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:14.303
CILEASING	5.70	8.77	5.33	6.50	0.64	1.20	4.46B	1.01M	52.00	5.49M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:14.377
NASCON	107.95	7.55	102.37	24.28	1.33	3.09	286.01B	822.33K	89.00	82.81M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:16.357
INTBREW	11.95	4.60	11.43	0.00	0.00	6.23	321.00B	6.25M	119.00	72.35M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:15.593
ROYALEX	1.93	4.15	1.90	0.00	0.00	7.81	9.93B	1.87M	54.00	3.44M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:17.263
CUTIX	3.09	2.91	3.08	8.81	0.26	6.52	10.89B	12.03M	217.00	36.13M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:14.590
NAHCO	103.95	2.36	103.88	92.98	0.41	6.66	202.61B	1.02M	143.00	105.14M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:16.300
RTBRISCOE	3.20	0.00	3.19	0.00	0.00	4.35	3.76B	250.80K	34.00	795.75K	12-Dec-2025 14:30:17.283

NSE: BEAR Signal - Price crossed below 15 Day MA

This signal implies these stocks are under selling pressure and the price might continue to slide and therefore positions should be monitored closely. Further suggested analysis include looking at the overall market (ASI) to see if the downtrend is market wide, sector wide or specific to the stock. If the overal market trend is upwards, then since these stocks are heading in the opposite direction, then further analysis should be done using commands like PC and RV on the InfoWARE Market Data Terminal. Another command is ALERTS to set price triggers for possible exit is necessar

For more detailed analysis,

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Symbol	Price	%Chg	15DMA	PE	EPS	DivY	MktCap	Vol	Trades	Value	LstTradeTime
FTNCOCOA	4.90	-1.02	4.92	0.00	0.00	1.60	19.11B	1.57M	96.00	7.66M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:15.217
FCMB	10.55	-4.27	10.74	104.31	0.09	5.62	208.92B	3.22M	317.00	34.14M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:44.100
CAVERTON	5.20	-5.77	5.21	1.15	1.57	5.52	17.42B	499.04K	42.00	2.63M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:14.283
VSPBONDETF	200.00	-9.75	213.00			0.00	0.00	6.88K	16.00	1.40M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:44.333
DAARCOMM	0.89	-10.11	0.93	0.00	0.00	0.00	10.68B	4.43M	81.00	4.03M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:14.697
AFRIPRUD	12.00	-10.83	13.09	19.57	0.61	1.27	24.00B	1.35M	112.00	16.81M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:13.640
EUNISELL	75.15	-10.98	80.48	0.00	0.00	0.31	17.79B	413.49K	111.00	33.07M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:15.030
STANBICETF30	1,148.18	-11.11	1,212.19			0.00	0.00	6.14K	91.00	7.04M	12-Dec-2025 14:30:44.277

Economic Indicators - Nigeria FX Reserves Vs ASI Chart

Nigeria FX Reserves are assets held on reserve by CBN in foreign currencies. These reserves are used to back liabilities and influence monetary policy. Given the nature of the Nigeria economy, FX Reserves can appear to have an outsize influence on the economy and hence on the capital market. The chart below allows comparison of FX Reserves against the ASI to make investment decisions

For more detailed analysis,

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Market Trend - ASI (NGX All-Share-Index) With 50 & 200 Day MAvgs Chart

Technical traders typically use the 50 & 200 day moving averages to aid in choosing where to enter or exit a position, which then causes these levels to act as strong support or resistance. As a general guideline, if the price is above a moving average, the trend is up. If the price is below a moving average, the trend is down.
It is important to note that critics of technical analysis say that moving averages act as support and resistance because so many traders use these indicators to inform their trading decisions. Also moving averages tend to work quite well in strong trending conditions but poorly in choppy or ranging conditions.
Trading Strategies: Crossovers
Crossovers are one of the main moving average strategies. The first type is a price crossover, which is when the price crosses above or below a moving average to signal a potential change in trend. Another strategy is to apply two moving averages to a chart: one longer and one shorter. When the shorter-term MA crosses above the longer-term MA, it is a buy signal, as it indicates that the trend is shifting up. This is known as a golden cross. Meanwhile, when the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term MA, it is a sell signal, as it indicates that the trend is shifting down. This is known as a dead/death cross

For more detailed analysis,

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Unusual Volume: Volume traded is more than double the 90 day moving average (All exchanges; ASI & ASem). For more detailed analysis,

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Symbol	Name	Volume	90DAvgVol	%VolChg	Price	LClose	%Chg	Trades	Value
ACCESSCORP	Access Holdings PLC	106.07M	50.19M	111.34	20.10	20.20	-0.50	1,359	2.13B
CONHALLPLC	CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK INSURANCE PLC	59.87M	22.32M	168.26	4.37	4.29	1.86	65	245.79M
TRANSPOWER	TRANSCORP POWER PLC	42.80M	207.72K	20,503.20	307.00	307.00	0.00	183	13.13B
CHAMPION	CHAMPION BREW. PLC.	36.44M	2.27M	1,505.89	14.15	12.90	9.69	116	510.16M
CUSTODIAN	CUSTODIAN AND ALLIED PLC	30.13M	1.81M	1,560.07	37.00	37.00	0.00	76	1.11B

Investment Insights - High Div. Stocks

Dividend stocks distribute a portion of the company earnings to investors on a regular basis and they can a great choice for investors looking for regular income. As an investment or trading strategy, high dividend yield equities provide annual cash payments as against mostly capital gains in the price of a stock. The list in the table below represent the highest dividend paying stocks from the list of the most liquid stocks in the NSE top 30.

For more detailed analysis,

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Investment Insights - Stocks outperforming the ASI but with approximately the same risk

These list of stocks represent equities that are less risky than the ASI but doing better than the ASI (All Shares Index) using the YTD (Year to Date) returns as the measure. The risk is measured by Beta. Beta is an assessment of a stock's tendency to undergo price changes, (its volatility), as well as its potential returns compared to the ASI. It is expressed as a ratio, where a score of 1 represents performance comparable to the ASI, and returns above or below the market may receive scores greater or lower than 1.

For a full list of both positively and negatively corelated stocks visit InfoWARE Market Data Terminal

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Symbol	DivYield	PE	EPS	Beta	%ChgYTD	ASIYTDReturn	BetaDiff
HONYFLOUR	1.40	16.28	0.31	0.99	177.46	44.83	0.01
CAVERTON	5.52	1.15	1.57	0.98	103.92	44.83	0.02
ROYALEX	7.81	0.00	0.00	0.96	75.45	44.83	0.04
UNIVINSURE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.83	61.11	44.83	0.17
FTNCOCOA	1.60	0.00	0.00	0.79	160.64	44.83	0.21
NB	3.79	16.95	1.60	0.79	157.50	44.83	0.21
MAYBAKER	3.75	58.94	0.14	0.78	75.53	44.83	0.22
UNILEVER	2.81	67.09	0.40	0.75	100.00	44.83	0.25
VETGOODS	0.00			0.71	97.67	44.83	0.29
Ikejahotel	0.94	51.55	0.16	0.70	142.51	44.83	0.30

African Markets

Name	LClose	Change	%Chg
BRVM Stock Exchange	347.37	-1.96	-0.56
Botswana Stock Exchange	10,849.62	33.53	0.31
Egyptian Exchange	42,033.78	-21.03	-0.05
Ghana Stock Exchange	8,634.75	0.00	0.00
Johannesburg Stock Exchange	112,123.60	1,077.15	0.97
Lusaka Stock Exchange	25,562.07	15.33	0.06
Casablanca Stock Exchange	18,498.78	-20.37	-0.11
Malawi Stock Exchange	610,928.52	-2,638.34	-0.43
Nigeria Stock Exchange	147,950.59	1,086.79	0.74
Nairobi Securities Exchange	177.66	0.88	0.50
Namibian Stock Exchange	2,063.78	3.50	0.17
Rwanda Stock Exchange	180.95	0.00	0.00
Tunis Stock Exchange	13,209.59	9.24	0.07
Uganda Securities Exchange	1,512.36	1.06	0.07

Nigeria Market Indexes

Symbol	LClose	%Chg	WTD%	MTD%	QTD%	YTD%	Trades
ASI	149,433.23	1.00	1.36	4.35	4.51	44.83	19,019
NGX30	5,466.77	0.96	1.40	4.38	4.77	43.30	10,628
NGXAFRBVI	3,232.48	-0.73	-1.22	3.82	-8.93	30.30	4,134
NGXAFRHDYI	20,957.23	-0.53	-1.61	0.85	-5.85	23.08	4,334
NGXASEM	1,392.88	0.00	0.00	0.00	-9.44	-12.05	4
NGXBNK	1,424.34	-0.54	-1.05	2.96	-6.09	30.98	4,320
NGXCG	4,047.43	1.01	1.70	5.44	-0.09	43.06	10,723
NGXCNSMRGDS	3,566.12	1.53	2.56	5.30	5.42	105.62	3,120
NGXCOMMDTY	1,172.91	0.00	-0.49	-0.73	4.55	17.29
NGXGROWTH	17,914.87	-0.29	20.99	21.17	18.86	130.78	322
NGXINDUSTR	5,525.20	0.01	-0.05	7.71	9.03	54.70	1,537
NGXINS	1,136.05	0.51	1.54	4.82	-5.02	44.50	1,093
NGXLOTUSISLM	13,197.20	1.51	1.35	3.42	11.17	89.40	3,649
NGXMAINBOARD	7,095.30	0.37	0.19	1.57	0.72	41.79	13,261
NGXMERIGRW	9,939.32	-0.01	-1.78	-0.24	0.37	52.37	2,742
NGXMERIVAL	12,777.48	0.03	-1.13	3.75	-4.42	22.50	5,222
NGXOILGAS	2,680.61	-0.09	-0.13	-0.58	6.12	-1.13	371
NGXPENBRD	2,809.50	0.97	1.31	4.27	5.97	53.39	15,588
NGXPENSION	6,867.95	0.73	0.90	3.73	1.93	51.48	12,128
NGXPREMIUM	15,445.93	2.18	3.44	9.66	12.81	58.70	5,436
NGXSOVBND	659.64	0.00	-2.02	-2.05	0.36	9.66	0

For more detailed analysis,

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